(Part 1)
Analysis of Bihar Elections 2025
The 2025 Bihar Elections marked a significant chapter in the state’s political narrative, with voting taking place on two-days in November, 2025. The elections were particularly crucial as they occurred amidst a backdrop of evolving socio-economic circumstances and political dynamics. A total of 243 assembly seats were contested, involving a variety of political parties, including the Janata Dal (United) [JD(U)], the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), and the Congress Party, among others. Now all the Bihar election results are announced, and they’re brutal for the opposition.
The Numbers Tell the Story
The NDA swept Bihar with 202 seats in a 243-seat assembly. The BJP won 89 seats. The JD(U) took 85. Chirag Paswan’s LJP grabbed 19.
The opposition Mahagathbandhan collapsed to 35 seats. That’s their worst performance in 15 years. The RJD fell from 75 seats in 2020 to just 25 now. Congress managed only 6 seats out of 61 they contested.
Nitish Kumar gets his tenth term as Chief Minister. The BJP becomes the single largest party in Bihar for the first time in this alliance.
How Congress Lost Bihar
Rahul Gandhi’s 1,300-kilometer yatra through Bihar was supposed to change everything. He toured 25 districts and 110 constituencies, alleging voter fraud and “vote chori” by the BJP.
Congress trailed in nearly every seat along the yatra route. They won just five of 61 seats contested. The only seat they held where Rahul campaigned was Kishanganj, a Muslim-majority constituency.
But there’s a darker story emerging from Patna.
Room 312 at the Maurya Hotel
Twitter is buzzing with an unverified but widely circulated story. A Congress “Young Turk,” reportedly close to Rahul Gandhi, checked into room 312 at Patna’s Maurya Hotel in the morning at 10 AM on November 14, when election results were announced.
As results started coming in, showing the Congress rout, an angry mob allegedly gathered outside his room. People wanted to thrash him with chappals. The man reportedly ran for his life, leaving his bags behind.
The allegation? He sold tickets to the highest bidder in Bihar. Congress workers who expected nominations were denied. People who paid got seats. Those seats were then lost.
No action is expected against him, the rumor claims. This mirrors another case where a former Congress social media in-charge was found guilty of embezzlement. No action was taken there either.
The Ticket-Selling Pattern
This isn’t new. Similar allegations surfaced after Congress’s Haryana defeat. Workers complained that seats went to the highest bidder, not the strongest candidates.
In Bihar, Congress contested 61 seats. They won 6. That’s a 10% strike rate. Compare that to BJP’s 85% strike rate, or JD(U)’s 84%.
When you sell tickets instead of selecting candidates, this is what happens. You field people who can pay, not people who can win. Local workers who know the ground reality get sidelined. Money comes in upfront. Seats are lost on election day.
The Congress high command stays silent. The Young Turks stay protected. The party keeps losing.
The Rout
Bihar didn’t just reject the opposition. They humiliated them. The lowest seat tally in 15 years isn’t a setback. It’s a rout.
The opposition Mahagathbandhan, gave Congress 61 seats. Congress won 6. That’s not bad luck. That’s incompetence. Or corruption. Or both.
Rahul Gandhi’s yatra covered 1,300 kilometers. It delivered one non-Muslim seat. That works out to 1,300 kilometers per victory outside core vote banks.
A Congress insider allegedly ran from an angry mob, leaving his bags in room 312. If true, those bags probably contained more than clothes. Maybe lists of people who paid for tickets. Maybe evidence of how internal corruption destroyed external credibility. The mob wanted chappals. Bihar voters used ballots. Same result. Different method.
Congress keeps protecting the people who keep losing them elections. Bihar is just the latest proof.
Tejashwi’s Firearm Video
Tejashwi Yadav, the opposition’s CM candidate, made campaign videos promising to “use firearms to abduct people after he gets elected.” In Bihar, that’s not hyperbole. People remember Lalu Yadav’s jungle raj. They remember what lawlessness looked like. Kidnappings. Extortion. Fear.
Modi hammered this theme. He talked about preventing the “katta sarkar” (gun government) from returning. It worked.
Tejashwi barely held his own Raghopur seat. He was trailing for hours before scraping through. His brother Tej Pratap, contesting on a different party ticket, lost badly. Jungle Raj is hounding both. The RJD’s Muslim-Yadav coalition, which Modi mockingly called the “communal MY formula,” couldn’t overcome memories of chaos in Lalu Yadav’s rule.
What Actually Won
Cash transfers. The NDA gave ₹10,000 each to over one crore women through welfare schemes. Social security pensions were hiked. Benefits were direct and visible. Not just promises. They saw promises collapsing in Himachal Pradesh and Karnataka.
Modi announced a new “MY formula” – Mahila and Youth. Women and young people. Not Muslim-Yadav. Women voters turned out at 71.6%. Many supported the liquor ban. Many appreciated money in their accounts. They voted accordingly.
The overall turnout hit 66.91%, the highest since 1951. Rahul Gandhi alleged voter fraud and urged people to stay vigilant. They responded by voting in record numbers. Then they voted against him.
Prashant Kishor’s Flop
Prashant Kishor launched Jan Suraaj Party with much fanfare. He was supposed to be the X-factor. The disruptor. The man who understood Bihar’s pulse. Blue eyed boy of Media.
He won zero seats. His party didn’t register on the scoreboard. Exit polls had given him 0-5 seats. He couldn’t even get zero to move to one.
The INDIA Bloc’s Crisis
Congress is now openly called the “weak link” in the INDIA opposition bloc. Other parties are questioning whether the Gandhis should lead the alliance. One Congress leader said after the defeat: “Power is concentrated in few hands.” That’s a direct shot at the family.
The pattern is clear. Congress lost Haryana. They collapsed in Bihar. Maharashtra and Delhi went badly too. Every state election sees the same story. But the leadership doesn’t change. The ticket-selling doesn’t stop. The Young Turks stay protected. Room 312 stays occupied.
Looking forward to 2026
Modi, in his victory speech, sent a message to West Bengal. “The Ganga flows from Bihar to Bengal. Bihar has paved the way for BJP’s victory in Bengal.” West Bengal goes to polls in 2026. So does Assam. The BJP is riding high. The opposition is shattered. Pro-incumbency is something they had never seen.
Nitish Kumar, despite anti-incumbency fears, proved his staying power. At 74, he’s Bihar’s longest-serving CM. He’ll likely continue that record. The NDA’s seat-sharing was surgical. BJP and JD(U) each got 101 seats. Both achieved 85% strike rates. That’s not luck. That’s planning.
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